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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Series Cristopher Moore

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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Series Stanislav Minsker

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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Series Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Series David Spiegelhalter

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The Planted Matching Problem

Cristopher Moore (Santa Fe Institute)
E18-304

Abstract: What happens when an optimization problem has a good solution built into it, but which is partly obscured by randomness? Here we revisit a classic polynomial-time problem, the minimum perfect matching problem on bipartite graphs. If the edges have random weights in , Mézard and Parisi — and then Aldous, rigorously — showed that…

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Towards Robust Statistical Learning Theory

Stanislav Minsker (University of Southern California)
E18-304

Abstract: Real-world data typically do not fit statistical models or satisfy assumptions underlying the theory exactly, hence reducing the number and strictness of these assumptions helps to lessen the gap between the “mathematical” world and the “real” world. The concept of robustness, in particular, robustness to outliers, plays the central role in understanding this gap. The goal…

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Accurate Simulation-Based Parametric Inference in High Dimensional Settings

Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser (University of Geneva)
E18-304

Abstract: Accurate estimation and inference in finite sample is important for decision making in many experimental and social fields, especially when the available data are complex, like when they include mixed types of measurements, they are dependent in several ways, there are missing data, outliers, etc. Indeed, the more complex the data (hence the models),…

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Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science

David Spiegelhalter (University of Cambridge)
32-D643

The claim of a ‘post-truth’ society, in which emotional responses trump balanced consideration of evidence, presents a strong challenge to those who value quantitative and scientific evidence: how can we communicate risks and unavoidable scientific uncertainty in a transparent and trustworthy way? Communication of quantifiable risks has been well-studied, leading to recommendations for using an…

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